Up 43% in a week, should I now be buying Canadian Overseas Petroleum stock?

Following some exciting developments, the Canadian Overseas Petroleum share price is up massively – is this stock now a glaring buy?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the oil price soaring globally, oil stocks are becoming increasingly popular. Formed in 2004, Canadian Overseas Petroleum (LSE: COPL) is a Canadian company concerned with the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. Headquartered in Calgary, the company has operations in the state of Wyoming and Sub-Saharan Africa. Recent buying of this stock is intriguing – let’s take a closer look.  

Recent discoveries and increased production

With a market capitalisation of £60.5m, Canadian Overseas Petroleum stock is one of the smaller oil and gas companies currently on the market. Since 11 January 2022, the share price is up 43%. What is the reason for such stunning growth? In an announcement from 22 November 2021, the company stated that production from its Barron Flats Shannon Unit in Wyoming was 35% ahead of expectations. This resulted in a 14% increase in the share price at that time, but was not responsible for the recent gains.

Furthermore, in the Q3 update for the three months to 30 September 2021, the company announced the discovery of light oil at its Barron Flats Deep Unit, also located in Wyoming. The official results of the discovery are still private, but the company is currently working on a development strategy and hope to update the market in the near future.

In the same announcement, Canadian Overseas Petroleum stated its business was suffering from tighter supplies of natural gas liquids (NGLs). These are necessary for the development of oil exploration. Throughout 2021, NGLs were in short supply across North America. With this shortage in mind, it is possible that the company’s ability to explore will be impacted. Yet, the management is satisfied that the company has sufficient NGLs to make it through the winter into 2022.

On the other hand, the company has made consistent losses for the calendar years 2016 to 2020. While this is not unusual for a small oil exploration company, it is worth noting so that I can better understand the wider financial position.

Why the massive increase in share price?

On 10 January 2022, the company made a significant discovery of light oil, again in Wyoming. This discovery is estimated to be 1.5bn to 1.9bn barrels of oil. This discovery has excited the market and directly resulted in the 43% weekly increase in the share price. The CEO, Arthur Millholland, stated that the amount of oil found is “many multiples greater than our original expectation”. Indeed, some extraction and production of oil from this discovery has begun. In the lowest field zone, the company is already producing around 100 to 120 barrels of oil per day. The discoveries are exciting news and will be compounded by the high oil price.

Canadian Overseas Petroleum has made a number of encouraging discoveries of light oil in recent times. While this stock is still small, I think the rewards far outweigh the risks. I will be adding this stock to my portfolio as a speculative buy.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Andrew Woods has no position in Canadian Overseas Petroleum. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Happy couple showing relief at news
Investing Articles

£5,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d try and turn that into a £308 monthly passive income

It's possible to create a lifelong passive income stream from a well-chosen portfolio of dividend shares. Here's how I'd invest…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Value Shares

This £3 value stock could soar in the AI boom

This under-the-radar value stock could do well on the back of the huge global build-out of data centres in the…

Read more »

Growth Shares

Should I invest in Darktrace shares as they rocket towards £6?

Darktrace shares are up nearly 75% in 2024 as the cybersecurity sector rallied, but is it too late to invest?…

Read more »

Front view photo of a woman using digital tablet in London
Investing Articles

Up 33% in 3 months but Lloyds shares still look undervalued to me

Lloyds shares are finally in demand after a tough few years. While they're more expensive than they were, Harvey Jones…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

The ‘dinosaur’ FTSE 100 index is starting to roar

The FTSE 100 index has often been derided in recent years, but UK large-cap stocks are beginning to show encouraging…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’d consider buying these FTSE 100 growth stocks for 2024 and beyond

I've been looking for growth stocks with low PEG valuations, and I'm finding plenty. But they're not at all where…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Minimal savings? Here’s how I’d start investing with a Stocks and Shares ISA

A Stocks and Shares ISA is an ideal way for investors to get the most out of their hard-earned money…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

The Rolls-Royce share price frenzy is finally over. Is now the perfect time to buy?

Harvey Jones thinks the Rolls-Royce share price has risen too far, too fast. As investors start to calm down, a…

Read more »